世界黄金价格影响因素模拟研究

来源期刊：有色金属科学与工程2012年第3期

论文作者：谢为 郑明贵

文章页码：90 - 94

关键词：黄金价格；影响因素；模型

Key words：gold price; affecting factors; model

摘    要：黄金是电子、通讯、航天等行业的必需品，同时也是储存货币的一种重要手段和重要的投资工具，对黄金价格的研究一直是个热门的话题影响黄金价格主要因素有世界黄金资源供需状况、美元指数、石油价格以及世界政治经济形势等文中分析了世界黄金市场的供需状况，并利用Eviews5.0软件建立了黄金价格影响因素模型，得出世界黄金产量、石油价格与黄金价格呈正相关的关系，而美元指数与黄金价格呈负相关的结论。

Abstract: Cold price has always been a hot topic for gold is a necessity in industries like electronics, telecommunication and aerospace. Cold is also an important means of stockpiling currency and investment tool. The major factors affecting gold price includes gold supply and demand in the world market, US dollar index, petroleum price, global political and economic situation, etc. This paper analyzes supply and demand status in the world gold market by establishing a gold price influencing factors model with Eviews 5.0. It concludes that the gold production and oil price are positively correlated with gold price, while the US dollar index is negatively correlated with gold price.